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Puebla vs Mazatlán Prediction

Puebla logo

Puebla

L L L D L
0.9 goals/game
1 - 1
Predicted Score
Mazatlán logo

Mazatlán

L L D L W
0.8 goals/game

Win Probability

Puebla
33%
Draw
28%
Mazatlán
38%
Summary Key Predictions

Mazatlán to win (38%) | BTTS: (53.3%) | Goals: 2.5 (59.6%) | xG: 1.7

Our Predictions

Both Teams to Score

Yes Low
53.3% probability

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.5 Medium
59.6% probability

Match Result

Mazatlán Win Low
38.3% probability

Double Chance

12 (No Draw) High
71.7% probability

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5 Medium
66.9% probability

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.5 High
79.9% probability

Match Analysis

Here's the match preview: Saturday's Liga MX fixture between Puebla and Mazatlán presents an intriguing tactical battle with subtle scoring dynamics. While neither side boasts elite offensive firepower, their recent performances suggest a tightly contested match unlikely to produce a high-scoring spectacle. Puebla's modest 0.90 goals per game average indicates a measured attacking approach, while Mazatlán's slightly lower 0.80 goals per game rate suggests they'll likely struggle to break through decisively. The historical head-to-head data provides additional context, revealing a pattern of relatively constrained matches with an average of 3.1 total goals and a 70% both teams scoring rate. This suggests the match will likely be competitive but not explosive. Our statistical modeling gives a 59.6% probability of the total goals staying under 2.5, reflecting the measured offensive capabilities of both sides. Mazatlán presents an interesting value proposition with a 38.3% win probability, slightly higher than typical away team expectations, potentially indicating they've been underestimated in recent assessments.

Key Statistics

Expected Goals 1.7
H2H BTTS Rate 70.0%
H2H Avg Goals 3.1
Odds (1X2) 1.98 / 3.45 / 3.75

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Puebla vs Mazatlán?

Based on our analysis, Mazatlán are favorites with a 38% win probability. Our predicted score is 1-1.

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS prediction is Yes with 53.3% confidence. Puebla has a 64% BTTS rate and Mazatlán has 52%.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We predict 1.7 total goals. Our tip is Under 2.5 goals with 59.6% probability.

Place Your Bet