England flag Championship England

Preston vs Derby Prediction

Preston logo

Preston

D L L L L
1.0 goals/game
1 - 1
Predicted Score
Derby logo

Derby

D W W L D
1.0 goals/game

Win Probability

Preston
34%
Draw
28%
Derby
36%
Summary Key Predictions

Derby to win (36%) | BTTS: (58.6%) | Goals: 2.5 (60.9%) | xG: 2.0

Our Predictions

Both Teams to Score

No Medium
58.6% probability

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.5 Medium
60.9% probability

Match Result

Derby Win Low
36.9% probability

Double Chance

12 (No Draw) High
71.3% probability

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5 Medium
65.7% probability

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.5 High
80.9% probability

Match Analysis

Championship clash at Deepdale promises a tactical battle between two evenly matched sides, with Preston hosting Derby in what projects to be a tightly contested encounter. The statistical profile suggests a low-scoring affair, underpinned by both teams' modest attacking returns—each averaging precisely 1.00 goals per game this season. Their historical head-to-head meetings further reinforce this pattern, with an average of just 1.5 total goals and a subdued both-teams-to-score rate of 20%. Digging deeper into the match dynamics, Derby's road form and Preston's defensive solidity provide additional weight to the under 2.5 goals prediction. While Derby holds a modest 36.9% chance of victory, their away performances have been characterized by disciplined, contained football. Preston's home advantage is counterbalanced by their conservative attacking approach, creating a scenario where defensive structures are likely to dominate. The data suggests a game that will be decided by narrow margins, tactical discipline, and potentially a single decisive moment. Key Betting Insights: - Under 2.5 Goals: 60.9% probability - Both Teams NOT to Score: 58.6% likelihood - Recommended lean towards defensive, low-scoring outcome

Key Statistics

Expected Goals 2.0
H2H BTTS Rate 20.0%
H2H Avg Goals 1.5
Odds (1X2) 2.30 / 3.05 / 3.25

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Preston vs Derby?

Based on our analysis, Derby are favorites with a 36% win probability. Our predicted score is 1-1.

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS prediction is No with 58.6% confidence. Preston has a 76% BTTS rate and Derby has 63%.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We predict 2.0 total goals. Our tip is Under 2.5 goals with 60.9% probability.

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