Preston vs Derby Prediction
Preston
D
L
L
L
L
1.0 goals/game
1
-
1
Predicted Score
Derby
D
W
W
L
D
1.0 goals/game
Win Probability
Summary
Key Predictions
Derby to win (36%) | BTTS: (58.6%) | Goals: 2.5 (60.9%) | xG: 2.0
Our Predictions
Both Teams to Score
No
Medium
58.6% probability
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Medium
60.9% probability
Match Result
Derby Win
Low
36.9% probability
Double Chance
12 (No Draw)
High
71.3% probability
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
Medium
65.7% probability
Over/Under 3.5
Under 3.5
High
80.9% probability
Match Analysis
Championship clash at Deepdale promises a tactical battle between two evenly matched sides, with Preston hosting Derby in what projects to be a tightly contested encounter. The statistical profile suggests a low-scoring affair, underpinned by both teams' modest attacking returns—each averaging precisely 1.00 goals per game this season. Their historical head-to-head meetings further reinforce this pattern, with an average of just 1.5 total goals and a subdued both-teams-to-score rate of 20%.
Digging deeper into the match dynamics, Derby's road form and Preston's defensive solidity provide additional weight to the under 2.5 goals prediction. While Derby holds a modest 36.9% chance of victory, their away performances have been characterized by disciplined, contained football. Preston's home advantage is counterbalanced by their conservative attacking approach, creating a scenario where defensive structures are likely to dominate. The data suggests a game that will be decided by narrow margins, tactical discipline, and potentially a single decisive moment.
Key Betting Insights:
- Under 2.5 Goals: 60.9% probability
- Both Teams NOT to Score: 58.6% likelihood
- Recommended lean towards defensive, low-scoring outcome
Key Statistics
Expected Goals
2.0
H2H BTTS Rate
20.0%
H2H Avg Goals
1.5
Odds (1X2)
2.30 / 3.05 / 3.25
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Preston vs Derby?
Based on our analysis, Derby are favorites with a 36% win probability. Our predicted score is 1-1.
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS prediction is No with 58.6% confidence. Preston has a 76% BTTS rate and Derby has 63%.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We predict 2.0 total goals. Our tip is Under 2.5 goals with 60.9% probability.
Place Your Bet
x200 Analytics Team generates predictions using statistical models that analyze team form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), and market odds. Learn about our methodology.