Pachuca vs Leon Prediction
Pachuca
L
D
W
L
D
1.4 goals/game
1
-
1
Predicted Score
Leon
L
L
L
L
W
1.3 goals/game
Win Probability
Summary
Key Predictions
Pachuca to win (37%) | BTTS: (55.4%) | Goals: 2.5 (53.1%) | xG: 2.7
Our Predictions
Both Teams to Score
Yes
Medium
55.4% probability
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Low
53.1% probability
Match Result
Pachuca Win
Low
37.3% probability
Double Chance
12 (No Draw)
High
74.7% probability
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
High
76.9% probability
Over/Under 3.5
Under 3.5
Medium
69.2% probability
Match Analysis
Pachuca and Leon clash in what promises to be a tactically intriguing Liga MX encounter with compelling betting dynamics. The home team Pachuca enters with a consistent offensive output of 1.40 goals per game, suggesting they're capable of creating quality scoring opportunities. Leon's slightly lower 1.30 goals-per-game average indicates a marginally less potent attack, but their road performances have been competitively balanced this season.
The historical head-to-head data provides particularly interesting insights for bettors. With an average of 2.3 total goals in previous meetings and a 40% Both Teams to Score (BTTS) rate, this match presents multiple attractive wagering options. The expected total goals of 2.70 suggests a moderately open contest, and our statistical model gives a 55.4% probability of both teams finding the net. While Pachuca holds a 37.3% chance of victory, the tight statistical margins mean this could easily develop into a closely contested match with multiple momentum shifts.
The key strategic watchpoint will be how Pachuca leverages their home advantage and slightly superior goal-scoring consistency. Leon's ability to weather early pressure and potentially counterattack could be crucial in determining the match outcome. With multiple statistical indicators pointing to a competitive and potentially high-scoring affair, this fixture offers nuanced betting opportunities for those willing to dig into the underlying performance metrics.
Key Statistics
Expected Goals
2.7
H2H BTTS Rate
40.0%
H2H Avg Goals
2.3
Odds (1X2)
1.59 / 4.10 / 5.40
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pachuca vs Leon?
Based on our analysis, Pachuca are favorites with a 37% win probability. Our predicted score is 1-1.
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS prediction is Yes with 55.4% confidence. Pachuca has a 70% BTTS rate and Leon has 86%.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We predict 2.7 total goals. Our tip is Over 2.5 goals with 53.1% probability.
Place Your Bet
x200 Analytics Team generates predictions using statistical models that analyze team form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), and market odds. Learn about our methodology.