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Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction

Newcastle logo

Newcastle

L L W D W
1.8 goals/game
1 - 1
Predicted Score
Aston Villa logo

Aston Villa

L W W W L
1.5 goals/game

Win Probability

Newcastle
48%
Draw
30%
Aston Villa
20%
Summary Key Predictions

Newcastle to win (48%) | BTTS: (52.0%) | Goals: 2.5 (56.9%) | xG: 3.3

Our Predictions

Both Teams to Score

Yes Low
52.0% probability

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 Medium
56.9% probability

Match Result

Newcastle Win Low
48.8% probability

Double Chance

1X (Home/Draw) High
79.2% probability

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5 High
79.6% probability

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.5 Medium
65.5% probability

Match Analysis

Newcastle hosts Aston Villa in a Premier League clash that promises attacking football and tactical intrigue. The Magpies have been formidable at St. James' Park this season, averaging 1.80 goals per home game and displaying consistent offensive pressure. Newcastle's tactical approach under their current manager has emphasized quick transitions and high-pressing strategies, which could create multiple scoring opportunities against Villa's occasionally vulnerable defensive line. Aston Villa enters this match with their own offensive credentials, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game and showing resilience in recent fixtures. The historical head-to-head data suggests a high-probability match for goals, with an average of 3.4 total goals in previous encounters and a 40% both teams scoring rate. The expected total goals metric of 3.30 indicates a high-likelihood of an open, attacking contest. With statistical models suggesting a 56.9% chance of over 2.5 goals and Newcastle holding a slight 48.8% win probability, this match presents an intriguing tactical battle with multiple potential outcomes.

Key Statistics

Expected Goals 3.3
H2H BTTS Rate 40.0%
H2H Avg Goals 3.4
Odds (1X2) 1.93 / 3.65 / 3.60

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

Based on our analysis, Newcastle are favorites with a 48% win probability. Our predicted score is 1-1.

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS prediction is Yes with 52.0% confidence. Newcastle has a 81% BTTS rate and Aston Villa has 81%.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We predict 3.3 total goals. Our tip is Over 2.5 goals with 56.9% probability.

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