Napoli vs Parma Prediction
Napoli
W
D
D
W
W
1.6 goals/game
1
-
0
Predicted Score
Parma
W
D
L
L
D
1.2 goals/game
Win Probability
Summary
Key Predictions
Napoli to win (51%) | BTTS: (53.0%) | Goals: 2.5 (54.4%) | xG: 2.8
Our Predictions
Both Teams to Score
No
Low
53.0% probability
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Low
54.4% probability
Match Result
Napoli Win
Low
51.3% probability
Double Chance
1X (Home/Draw)
High
76.8% probability
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
High
71.3% probability
Over/Under 3.5
Under 3.5
High
75.8% probability
Match Analysis
Napoli enters this Serie A clash against Parma with calculated momentum, presenting an intriguing tactical matchup that suggests a measured, low-scoring encounter. The statistical profile indicates a tight contest, with Napoli's 1.60 goals-per-game average marginally outpacing Parma's 1.20, hinting at a potentially constrained offensive display. Historical head-to-head data further reinforces this expectation, revealing an average total goals figure of 2.6 and a 40% both-teams-to-score rate that points toward a disciplined defensive battle.
The numerical indicators lean subtly toward a conservative outcome, with our analysis suggesting a slightly higher probability of under 2.5 total goals and the possibility of a shutout. Napoli's home advantage and recent form provide a modest edge, reflected in their 51.3% win probability. While no outcome is guaranteed, the underlying metrics suggest a pragmatic approach favoring controlled play and strategic defensive positioning. Parma's road performance and goal-scoring limitations further strengthen the case for a measured, potentially low-scoring resolution to this Serie A encounter.
Key Statistics
Expected Goals
2.8
H2H BTTS Rate
40.0%
H2H Avg Goals
2.6
Odds (1X2)
1.30 / 4.60 / 12.00
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Napoli vs Parma?
Based on our analysis, Napoli are favorites with a 51% win probability. Our predicted score is 1-0.
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS prediction is No with 53.0% confidence. Napoli has a 84% BTTS rate and Parma has 71%.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We predict 2.8 total goals. Our tip is Under 2.5 goals with 54.4% probability.
Place Your Bet
x200 Analytics Team generates predictions using statistical models that analyze team form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), and market odds. Learn about our methodology.