Italy flag Serie A Italy

Napoli vs Parma Prediction

Napoli logo

Napoli

W D D W W
1.6 goals/game
1 - 0
Predicted Score
Parma logo

Parma

W D L L D
1.2 goals/game

Win Probability

Napoli
51%
Draw
25%
Parma
23%
Summary Key Predictions

Napoli to win (51%) | BTTS: (53.0%) | Goals: 2.5 (54.4%) | xG: 2.8

Our Predictions

Both Teams to Score

No Low
53.0% probability

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.5 Low
54.4% probability

Match Result

Napoli Win Low
51.3% probability

Double Chance

1X (Home/Draw) High
76.8% probability

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5 High
71.3% probability

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.5 High
75.8% probability

Match Analysis

Napoli enters this Serie A clash against Parma with calculated momentum, presenting an intriguing tactical matchup that suggests a measured, low-scoring encounter. The statistical profile indicates a tight contest, with Napoli's 1.60 goals-per-game average marginally outpacing Parma's 1.20, hinting at a potentially constrained offensive display. Historical head-to-head data further reinforces this expectation, revealing an average total goals figure of 2.6 and a 40% both-teams-to-score rate that points toward a disciplined defensive battle. The numerical indicators lean subtly toward a conservative outcome, with our analysis suggesting a slightly higher probability of under 2.5 total goals and the possibility of a shutout. Napoli's home advantage and recent form provide a modest edge, reflected in their 51.3% win probability. While no outcome is guaranteed, the underlying metrics suggest a pragmatic approach favoring controlled play and strategic defensive positioning. Parma's road performance and goal-scoring limitations further strengthen the case for a measured, potentially low-scoring resolution to this Serie A encounter.

Key Statistics

Expected Goals 2.8
H2H BTTS Rate 40.0%
H2H Avg Goals 2.6
Odds (1X2) 1.30 / 4.60 / 12.00

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Napoli vs Parma?

Based on our analysis, Napoli are favorites with a 51% win probability. Our predicted score is 1-0.

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS prediction is No with 53.0% confidence. Napoli has a 84% BTTS rate and Parma has 71%.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We predict 2.8 total goals. Our tip is Under 2.5 goals with 54.4% probability.

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