Liga MX
Mexico
Mazatlán vs Monterrey Prediction
Mazatlán
L
L
D
L
W
0.8 goals/game
1
-
1
Predicted Score
Monterrey
L
W
W
L
W
1.8 goals/game
Win Probability
Summary
Key Predictions
Monterrey to win (48%) | BTTS: (51.9%) | Goals: 2.5 (51.8%) | xG: 2.6
Our Predictions
Both Teams to Score
Yes
Low
51.9% probability
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Low
51.8% probability
Match Result
Monterrey Win
Low
48.8% probability
Double Chance
12 (No Draw)
High
74.5% probability
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
High
73.3% probability
Over/Under 3.5
Under 3.5
High
73.6% probability
Match Analysis
Monterrey heads to Mazatlán with a clear offensive advantage in this Liga MX fixture, presenting a nuanced betting landscape. The visitors average 1.80 goals per game compared to Mazatlán's modest 0.80, suggesting Monterrey holds a significant attacking edge. Historical head-to-head data reinforces this dynamic, with matches averaging 2.2 total goals and a 50% rate of both teams finding the scoresheet.
The statistical profile points to a tightly contested match with a lean towards a low-scoring outcome. While Monterrey seems more likely to secure victory, the 48.8% win probability indicates this isn't a guaranteed result. The nearly even odds for both "Both Teams to Score" and "Under 2.5 Goals" reflect the match's competitive uncertainty, with marginal statistical leans that make this an intriguing betting proposition. Monterrey's superior goal-scoring record suggests they're the more probable winner, but Mazatlán's home advantage could neutralize some of that offensive advantage.
Key Statistics
Expected Goals
2.6
H2H BTTS Rate
50.0%
H2H Avg Goals
2.2
Odds (1X2)
4.00 / 3.60 / 1.84
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mazatlán vs Monterrey?
Based on our analysis, Monterrey are favorites with a 48% win probability. Our predicted score is 1-1.
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS prediction is Yes with 51.9% confidence. Mazatlán has a 52% BTTS rate and Monterrey has 88%.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We predict 2.6 total goals. Our tip is Under 2.5 goals with 51.8% probability.
Place Your Bet
x200 Analytics Team generates predictions using statistical models that analyze team form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), and market odds. Learn about our methodology.