Inter vs Napoli Prediction
Inter
L
W
D
W
W
2.1 goals/game
1
-
1
Predicted Score
Napoli
W
D
D
W
W
1.6 goals/game
Win Probability
Summary
Key Predictions
Inter to win (40%) | BTTS: (53.9%) | Goals: 2.5 (50.6%) | xG: 3.7
Our Predictions
Both Teams to Score
Yes
Low
53.9% probability
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Low
50.6% probability
Match Result
Inter Win
Low
40.5% probability
Double Chance
12 (No Draw)
High
74.0% probability
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
High
74.2% probability
Over/Under 3.5
Under 3.5
High
72.5% probability
Match Analysis
Inter and Napoli clash in what promises to be a tactical Serie A showdown, with recent form and statistical trends suggesting a tightly contested match. Inter's home advantage and slightly more aggressive offensive output (2.10 goals per game) give them a marginal edge, but Napoli's defensive resilience could neutralize this advantage. The historical head-to-head data reveals a pattern of competitive encounters, with an impressive 2.6 average goals per match and a 70% rate of both teams finding the net.
The statistical models suggest a nuanced outcome, with a near-even probability of under 2.5 total goals and both teams scoring. Inter's 40.5% win probability reflects their slight superiority, but the narrow margin indicates Napoli's capability to disrupt expectations. The key tactical battle will likely center on Inter's attacking efficiency versus Napoli's defensive structure, with midfield control potentially determining the match's momentum. Given the balanced metrics and recent performances, this match represents a classic Serie A strategic confrontation where small margins could decisively influence the result.
Key Statistics
Expected Goals
3.7
H2H BTTS Rate
70.0%
H2H Avg Goals
2.6
Odds (1X2)
1.74 / 3.45 / 5.10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Inter vs Napoli?
Based on our analysis, Inter are favorites with a 40% win probability. Our predicted score is 1-1.
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS prediction is Yes with 53.9% confidence. Inter has a 89% BTTS rate and Napoli has 84%.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We predict 3.7 total goals. Our tip is Under 2.5 goals with 50.6% probability.
Place Your Bet
x200 Analytics Team generates predictions using statistical models that analyze team form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), and market odds. Learn about our methodology.