Italy flag Serie A Italy

Genoa vs Cagliari Prediction

Genoa logo

Genoa

W L D L L
1.0 goals/game
1 - 1
Predicted Score
Cagliari logo

Cagliari

L W L L W
1.1 goals/game

Win Probability

Genoa
37%
Draw
27%
Cagliari
35%
Summary Key Predictions

Genoa to win (37%) | BTTS: (51.4%) | Goals: 2.5 (55.7%) | xG: 2.1

Our Predictions

Both Teams to Score

No Low
51.4% probability

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.5 Medium
55.7% probability

Match Result

Genoa Win Low
37.5% probability

Double Chance

12 (No Draw) High
72.7% probability

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5 High
70.2% probability

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.5 High
76.8% probability

Match Analysis

Genoa and Cagliari prepare to clash in a Serie A encounter that promises tactical intrigue and tight margins. Both teams enter this match with modest offensive output—Genoa averaging 1.00 goals per game and Cagliari slightly higher at 1.10—suggesting a potentially cagey affair where defensive discipline could be the decisive factor. The historical head-to-head data supports this assessment, with matches typically producing around 2.5 total goals and an even split in scoring opportunities. The statistical profile points toward a low-scoring confrontation, with our analysis suggesting a 55.7% probability of under 2.5 total goals. Genoa's home advantage and slightly more conservative scoring rate create an interesting dynamic, giving them a 37.5% chance of securing victory. The data also indicates a marginal tendency toward a match where both teams might struggle to find the net, with a 51.4% likelihood of a clean sheet for one side. These metrics suggest bettors should anticipate a tightly contested match where defensive strategy could well trump attacking ambition.

Key Statistics

Expected Goals 2.1
H2H BTTS Rate 50.0%
H2H Avg Goals 2.5
Odds (1X2) 2.08 / 2.98 / 4.10

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Genoa vs Cagliari?

Based on our analysis, Genoa are favorites with a 37% win probability. Our predicted score is 1-1.

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS prediction is No with 51.4% confidence. Genoa has a 65% BTTS rate and Cagliari has 60%.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We predict 2.1 total goals. Our tip is Under 2.5 goals with 55.7% probability.

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