Premier League
England
Chelsea vs Brentford Prediction
Chelsea
W
W
W
L
W
1.7 goals/game
1
-
1
Predicted Score
Brentford
D
L
W
W
W
1.7 goals/game
Win Probability
Summary
Key Predictions
Chelsea to win (42%) | BTTS: (54.1%) | Goals: 2.5 (57.7%) | xG: 3.4
Our Predictions
Both Teams to Score
Yes
Low
54.1% probability
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Medium
57.7% probability
Match Result
Chelsea Win
Low
42.3% probability
Double Chance
12 (No Draw)
High
75.8% probability
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
High
80.1% probability
Over/Under 3.5
Under 3.5
Medium
64.7% probability
Match Analysis
Chelsea hosts Brentford in a Premier League fixture that promises tactical intrigue and potential goal-scoring opportunities. Both teams enter this match with remarkably consistent offensive output, averaging 1.70 goals per game—a statistical symmetry that suggests an evenly matched encounter. Chelsea's home advantage and recent tactical adjustments under their current manager provide a slight edge, reflected in their 42.3% win probability.
The match data points toward an active scoring environment, with a projected total goals expectation of 3.40. The historical head-to-head pattern shows a 40% Both Teams to Score (BTTS) rate, indicating a likelihood of offensive exchanges from both sides. Advanced metrics suggest a 57.7% probability of the match exceeding 2.5 total goals, making over 2.5 goals a statistically supported betting consideration. While no outcome is guaranteed, the underlying performance indicators suggest a dynamic, potentially high-scoring contest that could swing on tactical nuance and individual player moments.
Key Statistics
Expected Goals
3.4
H2H BTTS Rate
40.0%
H2H Avg Goals
2.3
Odds (1X2)
1.65 / 3.85 / 4.90
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chelsea vs Brentford?
Based on our analysis, Chelsea are favorites with a 42% win probability. Our predicted score is 1-1.
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS prediction is Yes with 54.1% confidence. Chelsea has a 81% BTTS rate and Brentford has 78%.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We predict 3.4 total goals. Our tip is Over 2.5 goals with 57.7% probability.
Place Your Bet
x200 Analytics Team generates predictions using statistical models that analyze team form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), and market odds. Learn about our methodology.