Portugal flag Primeira Liga Portugal

Benfica vs Estrela Prediction

Benfica logo

Benfica

D D W W W
2.5 goals/game
2 - 0
Predicted Score
Estrela logo

Estrela

L L L W L
0.7 goals/game

Win Probability

Benfica
63%
Draw
23%
Estrela
13%
Summary Key Predictions

Benfica to win (63%) | BTTS: (58.4%) | Goals: 2.5 (58.5%) | xG: 3.2

Our Predictions

Both Teams to Score

No Medium
58.4% probability

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 Medium
58.5% probability

Match Result

Benfica Win Medium
63.3% probability

Double Chance

1X (Home/Draw) High
86.8% probability

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5 High
80.6% probability

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.5 Medium
63.9% probability

Match Analysis

Benfica enters this Primeira Liga clash as clear favorites against Estrela, backed by a robust offensive record that has seen them consistently generate over 2.5 goals per match this season. Their home advantage and superior goal-scoring metrics suggest they're well-positioned to dominate the encounter, with an anticipated win probability of 63.3%. The statistical spread indicates Benfica's attacking prowess is significantly more developed than Estrela's defensive capabilities. The match's most intriguing betting opportunity lies in the total goals market, where historical data points to a high-probability outcome. With an expected total goals projection of 3.20 and a 58.5% likelihood of exceeding 2.5 goals, the match presents a compelling over/under scenario. The head-to-head history further reinforces this projection, showing an average of 3.8 total goals across previous encounters. Meanwhile, the 58.4% probability of a clean sheet for one side suggests defensive solidity could be a defining factor in the match dynamics.

Key Statistics

Expected Goals 3.2
H2H BTTS Rate 38.0%
H2H Avg Goals 3.8
Odds (1X2) 1.15 / 7.00 / 16.50

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Benfica vs Estrela?

Based on our analysis, Benfica are favorites with a 63% win probability. Our predicted score is 2-0.

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS prediction is No with 58.4% confidence. Benfica has a 94% BTTS rate and Estrela has 47%.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We predict 3.2 total goals. Our tip is Over 2.5 goals with 58.5% probability.

Place Your Bet